Iyo RMB yekukoshesa kutenderera kwakatanga? (Chitsauko 1)

Kubva munaJuly, iyo Onshore uye Offshore Rates Offshore RMB Exchange Rate kubva kuUS Dollar zvakare yakarova nzvimbo yakakwira musi waGunyana 5, kukoshesa ne2,3% kubva pane yakaderera poindi musi waChikunguru 3.

Kutarisira kumberi kumusika wenguva yemberi, iyo RMM yekutsinhana ichipokana neUS Dollar Pinda muchiteshi chakatsvaira? Isu tinotenda kuti iyo rombo razvino Range Rate kubva kuUS Dollar ndiko kuonga kwekungoita nekuda kwekunonoka kwehupfumi hweU. Kubva pamaonero emufungo mubatanidzwa weChina neUnited States, njodzi yekuvandudzwa kwemapurojekiti, tisati rasvika ratehwe. Parizvino, iyo RMM kuchinjanisa kurwisa dhora reUS rinogona kunge richikanganisa munzira mbiri.

Iyo hupfumi hweUS iri kudzora, uye iyo Rm iri kungoziva.
Kubva pane yakanyorwa ezvehupfumi yehupfumi, hupfumi hweUS hwakaratidza zviratidzo zviri pachena zvekushaiwa simba, izvo zvakangoita zvekutengesa misika nezvekuderera kweUS. Nekudaro, kutonga kubva kune zviratidzo sekushandiswa uye indasitiri yebasa, njodzi yeiyo nhandare yeUS ichiri yakaderera, uye dhora reUS harina kusangana nedambudziko.

Musika webasa waziya pasi, asi harizowiri kuderera. Huwandu hwemabasa matsva asiri ehupenyu munaJuly wakapinza kusvika pamwedzi une makore 114,000, uye rwizi rusina basa rwakasimuka kusvika Nepo musika webasa waziya pasi, huwandu hwenzvimbo dzakatonhorera hadzina kudzikira pasi, zvakanyanya nekuti huwandu hwevanhu vanoshandirwa vari kuderera, izvo zvinoratidza kuti hupfumi hwekutonhora pasi uye harisati rapinda.

Maitiro ebasa eUS maindasitiri eUS emaindasitari. Kune rimwe divi, pane kudzvinyirira kukuru pane kunonoka kwebasa rekugadzira. Kutonga kubva kune Index yeUS ISM SezvaJuly 2024, indekisi yaive 43.4%, kutsvedza kwe5,9 muzana mapoinzi kubva kumwedzi wapfuura. Kune rimwe divi, basa muindasitiri yebasa rinoramba rakasimba. Kuona iyo Index yeUS ISM isiri-yekugadzira PMI, saChikunguru 2024, iyo index yaive 51.1%, kumusoro mashanu muzana emwedzi wapfuura kubva pamwedzi wapfuura.

Kupesana nedare rekusimuka kwehupfumi hweUS Data rakaburitswa neCFTC rakaratidzwa kuti svondo raAugust 13, nzvimbo yemari yemari yakangoita mudhora rinosvika 18,500, uye muchikamu chechina che2023 zvaive zvinodarika zviuru makumi maviri.